View Single Post
  #5   Ban this user!
Old 04-10-2007, 11:12 AM
totally_screwed totally_screwed is offline
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: United Kingdom
Posts: 48
totally_screwed is on a distinguished road
Hot Ice!

Originally Posted by NinerSevenTango View Post
Well, you pretty well made my point for me.

The polar caps on other planets are shrinking, but the effect of solar input (which is the main energy input for the whole system) on the poorly understood earth's climate is very low.

It appears that clouds might be a little (a lot) more important than carbon dioxide. And it appears that condensation might have a lot to do with influx of energetic particles coming from the sun.

I think researchers on the public dole who are being paid to conclude that we need to have a new world government with dictatorial control over everyone's economic activity (your life) are a more dangerous threat than the weather is. Not just because of the life or death question of whether people will be allowed to support themselves, but also because of the wars that will ensue when the attempt is made to prevent entire countries from supporting themselves.

--97T--
No you misunderstand entirely.

Since the Solar effects are so little understood [by anyone], they require more research. That in no way implies whether they are important or otherwise.
Added figures
The solar effects are assessed by the IPCC at 0.12 [0.06 to 0.3] Wm-2 (Global), whereas CO2 alone is assessed at 1.66 [1.49 to 1.83] Wm-2 (Global), so the solar contribution is much smaller than man-made CO2.

What has been clearly demonstrated is a strong relationship between significant man-made changes in the atmosphere and global temperatures.
The changes are not trivial as you claimed previously -your adjective was 'infinitesimal', which is demonstrably wrong: example 26% increase in CO2 since pre-industrial times based on the findings of the IPCC.
The certainties have been stated as has the level of scientific understanding. Your reference to 'polar caps on other planet[s]' is spurious as you well know. I refer you to my previous statements about the much less well understood climates of other planets.

Mercury has none. At 400 degrees C, Venus is rather unlikely to have ice caps. There is only one other planet in the solar system with ice caps [other than Earth] and that is Mars. The rest are mostly gaseous worlds and are covered in clouds.

Mars has virtually no water [subject to study], no significant magnetic field and a Solar year 1.88 that of Earth, so atmospheric parallels with Earth are neither easily drawn, nor probably of much relevance.

The way science works involves peer reviews and a single piece of scientific research is rarely significant. The IPCC involves hundreds of scientists and their work is subjected to peer review.

You appear to quite concerned about the potential political implications of attempts to combat Global Warming.
What about the immense potential political implications of not successfully combating Global Warming? The prospects for the world seem very likely to be far worse if we do nothing. Widespread food shortages, degradation of ecosystems including the oceans, inundation of many of the world's the fertile coastal plains, starvation, large-scale population movements.
__________________
Any argument about science that cannot be backed with peer-reviewed science, isn't worth a bucket of cold spit!

Last edited by totally_screwed; 04-11-2007 at 02:21 AM. Reason: Added solar radiative forcing figures
Reply With Quote

Sponsored Links
 

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361